Telegraph kills critical comments on snide “gay divorce” story

July 9th, 2011 Comments off
Telegraph in error

Telegraph in error

On Thursday, the Telegraph gleefully ran a story: “ONS: gay ‘divorces’ up by 44 per cent“, written by Tim Ross and Roma Wells. The story draws on data from Britain’s Office for National Statistics to show that there has been a whopping 44% increase in dissolutions of civil partnerships. They also point to a disparity between gay men and lesbians in that:

In the five years since civil partnerships became legal, 1.6 per cent of formalised gay male relationships have been dissolved, compared with a dissolution rate of 3.3 per cent for lesbian partnerships.

For me, this is a transparent attempt to feed the Telegraph trolls. If you were to install a truth-serum extension in your Firefox, the headline would read:

WE TOLD YOU SO: WE GAVE POOFS THE RIGHT TO MARRY AND NOW LOOK AT THEM ALL GETTING DIVORCED. AND DON’T EVEN MENTION THOSE DUNGAREE WEARING WIMMIN

I do not doubt the veracity of the statistics, as they come from ONS. But either the writers are unqualified to interpret them, or this is a deliberate attempt to feed the latent homphobia in the Torygraph readership.

Firstly, the whopping 44% increase is actually from a very small increase in real terms. Dissolutions in 2009 were – according to their own article – a mere 353. In 2010, just 509.

Secondly, Civil Partnership has only existed since December 2005. I would imagine that the rate of divorce/dissolution is not constant across the lifetime of a marriage. It would be highly unusual for a couple to be together a decade, get married and then a month later decide to dissolve the union. You have to live with people a while before you realise you made a mistake terrible enough that you have to employ lawyers to sort it out. So these first 5 years of data are going to be highly skewed by the recency of the institution of civil partnership. Lazy Googling quotes an average of 11 years being the age of the typical heterosexual marriage – if we’re going to make judgements on the newsworthiness of gay marriages compared to straight, I’d suggest we look at the data in 2020 or so, not now.

Thirdly, considering the fact that observations about gay dissolution rates are mostly meaningless until the data has had time to settle, what would be really newsworthy would be if the rate of gay divorce is significantly different to that for straight marriages.

Regrettably, the ONS does not publish comparable statistics. Their press release of February 2011 gives a rate of heterosexual divorce as 10.5 divorcing people per 1000 married population in England & Wales.

To get comparable data, we need to find out what the “civilly partnered” population is. Using ONS data:

total number of civil partnershipstotal number of dissolutions

Partnerships in England & Wales

  • 2005: 1790 E, 67 W = 1857
  • 2006: 14383 E, 560 W = 14943
  • 2007: 7635 E, 294 W = 7929
  • 2008: 6276 E, 282 W = 6558
  • 2009: 5443 E, 244 W = 5687

Total civil partnerships = 36974

Dissolutions England & Wales

  • 2005: no data
  • 2006: no data
  • 2007: 40
  • 2008: 166
  • 2009: 329

Total dissolutions = 535

Total civilly partnered population of England & Wales = 36439 × 2 people = 72878

So the equivalent “Number of dissolving people per 1000 civilly partnered population” =

[ (329 × 2) ÷ 72878 ] × 1000 = 9.02

 OK, so I posted this in the comments (although my sums were off, but it was late). I got some lame responses. Whatever. The next day though, when I went to check further responses, the story was there, but all Disqus powered comments had gone. Later on in the day when I went to check again, searching for the article using “gay divorce” as a term brought up a link that when clicked on, gave an error message. Now, the article is back (listed three times, with one still error-ing), but Disqus comments are still notably absent. Its not a ‘problem’ either – looking at the page source they have been deliberately set to ‘off’.

I’m a bit surprised by this: not by the fact that a right wing paper would deliberately, or through employing lazy journalists would write a snide article on gay divorces, but that they should be so sensitive to criticism that they’d feel moved to yank the article temporarily and then remove all comments.

( data © Crown Copyright )

Posted from Hammersmith, England, United Kingdom.

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Stop TfL closing the Olympia District Line

July 7th, 2011 Comments off

Transport for London is trying to close the District Line service to Kensington Olympia. Well, they say they’re not – its merely a “timetable change”. But a timetable change that means that the measly three-trains per hour service will go away entirely on weekdays, unless there is a “major” event going on at the Olympia exhibition centre.

By “major”, they mean an event that attracts more than 6,000 visitors a day, and crucially, only between the hours of 10am – 4pm. So if you’re at a conference or exhibition that starts at 8.30 or 9am, getting to the venue turns into an epic trip of planes, trains and automobiles.

And all this buried in announcements about “timetable changes” (no consultation required) rather than “service closure”.

 

Closing a wheelchair accessible station

Olympia is one of the few stations in London that is 100% wheelchair accessible. In order for local residents in wheelchairs to access the District Line – or mothers with pushchairs or other impaired people – the closest accessible station  Hammersmith – almost a full mile away.

Why do TfL want to effectively close down a tube service in a part of London that is rammed with road traffic and whose existing tube and rail services as also full to bursting?

 

Minimal benefit for Wimbledon branch commuters

TfL claims that track congestion at Earls Court station means that running 3 trains an hour to Olympia causes untold train problems for the other Wimbledon, Richmond and Ealing branches. They claim that by eliminating the service entirely for one group of travellers, they will be able to run an extra – hold on to your hats – FIVE services during rush hour to Wimbledon, which they claim is massively overcrowded. Wow! 2.5 extra trains in the morning, 2.5 trains in the evening! You Wimbledon commuters will really be able to stretch your legs. Some quarters have been talking about “5 extra trains an hour” – this is completely inaccurate.

 

Bogus usage figures for Olympia Station

They claim that the number of people using Olympia is so small that it is justified to kill their service in the pursuit of better service for Wimbledon commuters. But they aren’t basing that decision on anything sensible like Oyster figures, they’re going on a manual count carried out in 2008, which has questionable numbers. And anyway, Oyster reader figures would not give the full picture as

  • there are no barriers at Olympia station, so no compulsion to swipe an Oyster card or ticket
  • only PAYG Oyster users have to swipe their Oyster at the station – season ticker Oyster users have no need
  • visitors to the Olympia exhibition centre will most likely have paper travelcards or tickets – again, no visibility to the Oyster readers

We want a proper, independent manual count that is truly representative of current usage patterns on both exhibition days and normal weekday usage.

Oh, and its not long before the Earls Court exhibition centre closes, meaning that there will be even more demand for transport links to Olympia.

So far, I’ve heard nothing from TfL about how they have explored other ways of dealing with the congestion at Earls Court and providing a better service for Wimbledon branch commuters. Could they change working practises? What about technology upgrades? How about extending service from its current High St Kensington – Earls Court – Olympia to extend as far as Edgeware Road or Victoria in the other direction?

 

Anyway, I believe this to be a flawed decision and one that should be opposed.



Posted from Hammersmith, England, United Kingdom.

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